Here are your best bets for the games on Sunday, July 14.
Aaron Judge – Judge has come to the plate 19 times in his career against Marcus Stroman, and the results are appetizing. He is 7/16 with 4 homers, 3 walks and 4 strikeouts. This is good for a .438/.526/1.188 slash. That 1.188 is the slugging, not the OPS, which sits at a robust 1.714.
Kyle Schwarber – The Cubs finish off their series with the Pirates against Trevor Williams, and Schwarber has enjoyed some good stats against the right-handed pitcher in his career. The most amazing part is he has struck out just once in 20 PA against Williams, something uncommon for Schwarber, who strikes out a ton. Other than that, he owns a .353/.450/.765 slash with 2 home runs and 3 bases on balls.
Carlos Santana – Cleveland hosts Minnesota in the finale of an AL Central showdown on Sunday, and the Twins will send Jose Berrios to the mound. Santana has had the most prolific success against Berrios, seeing the ball well (3:2 BB/K) while hitting .357/.471/.786 in 17 PA. He’s seen 74 pitches so just about 4.3 per AB. He owns a double, a triple, and a homer against the Twins’ All-Star, resulting in a healthy .429 ISO.
Matt Adams – This one is a bit of a calculated risk. Jake Arrieta is throwing for the Phillies, and Matt Adams has struck out times in 32 PA against him. So why the faith? Well, he’s also batting .333 with a .438 OBP. He has 1 homer, 2 doubles, and 5 walks as well. Overall, he owns a .956 OPS against the Phillies’ veteran righty. He’s also seen 137 pitches against Arrieta, so he knows his arsenal well.
Jose Berrios – Odd that I’d use a pitcher that I also used as a positive hitter matchup, but besides Santana, Berrios does very well against the normal Cleveland lineup. Together, the Indians have a combined .610 OPS against Berrios, with a BA of just .196. And he neutralizes the big guns pretty well: Lindor (.250 BA), Ramirez (.174 BA), and Kipnis (.118 BA) among them. In 122 plate combined plate appearances against the current Cleveland offense, Berrios has only yielded 2 homers.
BONUS: A lot of DFS players love to talk about a team stack, and Sunday’s stack would have to be the Angels against Yusei Kikuchi. While there’s not a ton of information, just 43 plate appearances, the current Angels roster has a whopping .528 batting average.
In three career starts against Los Angeles, Kikuchi has a 12.34 ERA while giving up 29 hits in just 11.2 innings.
A good stack would be Simmons (3/3), Trout (3/6, 1 HR, 3 BB), and Pujols (3/7, 2 2B, 1.214 OPS)
The Leadoff Batter’s Report Card: Every DFS article, I will update you on my previous predictions and how they panned out. Here are the results from Saturday, July 13.
George Springer: 0/4, 2 BB, 2 R Grade: D
Nelson Cruz: 0/3, 2 BB Grade: D
Whit Merrifield: 2/3, BB Grade: B
Francisco Lindor: 1/4 Grade: D
Charlie Morton: 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, 1 BB, W Grade:B
Overall 7/13 Grade: C-